Fresh odds moves, new highs and lows, trends, lead changes, polling, fundraising, endorsements, and news across active elections. High Impact Insights FL-24 Democratic nominee? Gilbert’s odds snapped to 99% after public reporting projected him as the Democratic nominee, with Jones conceding, making the contract a near-lock repricing. FL-24 Democratic nominee? Gilbert’s odds snapped to 99% after public reporting projected him as the Democratic nominee, with Jones conceding, making the contract a near-lock repricing. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Barlow’s nomination odds are now effectively maxed out after AP reports he won Tuesday’s Republican primary, making the contract’s prior repricing look validated. Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Barlow’s nomination odds are now effectively maxed out after AP reports he won Tuesday’s Republican primary, making the contract’s prior repricing look validated. Deposit $20, get a $50 bonus with Polymarket. Deposit $20, get a $50 bonus with Polymarket. Latest Insights Oliver Gilbert 2h High Impact 99% 39% FL-24 Democratic nominee? Gilbert’s odds snapped to 99% after public reporting projected him as the Democratic nominee, with Jones conceding, making the contract a near-lock repricing. Trade Oliver Gilbert 2h High Impact FL-24 Democratic nominee? Trade Gilbert’s odds snapped to 99% after public reporting projected him as the Democratic nominee, with Jones conceding, making the contract a near-lock repricing. 39% 99% FL-24 Democratic nominee? Gilbert’s odds snapped to 99% after public reporting projected him as the Democratic nominee, with Jones conceding, making the contract a near-lock repricing. FL-24 Democratic nominee? Gilbert’s odds snapped to 99% after public reporting projected him as the Democratic nominee, with Jones conceding, making the contract a near-lock repricing. Charlie Crist 8h High Impact 89% 50% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. Trade Charlie Crist 8h High Impact St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Trade Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. 50% 89% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. Eric Barlow 8h High Impact 100% 79% Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Barlow’s nomination odds are now effectively maxed out after AP reports he won Tuesday’s Republican primary, making the contract’s prior repricing look validated. Trade Eric Barlow 8h High Impact Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Trade Barlow’s nomination odds are now effectively maxed out after AP reports he won Tuesday’s Republican primary, making the contract’s prior repricing look validated. 79% 100% Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Barlow’s nomination odds are now effectively maxed out after AP reports he won Tuesday’s Republican primary, making the contract’s prior repricing look validated. Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Barlow’s nomination odds are now effectively maxed out after AP reports he won Tuesday’s Republican primary, making the contract’s prior repricing look validated. Stephanie Bice 34m 97% 8% OK-05 House winner? Stephanie Bice's odds are now 97%, topping the previous high of 89%. Trade Stephanie Bice 34m OK-05 House winner? Trade Stephanie Bice's odds are now 97%, topping the previous high of 89%. 8% 97% OK-05 House winner? Stephanie Bice's odds are now 97%, topping the previous high of 89%. OK-05 House winner? Stephanie Bice's odds are now 97%, topping the previous high of 89%. Joe Wilson 1h 95% 8% SC-02 House winner? Joe Wilson's odds are now 95%, topping the previous high of 87%. Trade Joe Wilson 1h SC-02 House winner? Trade Joe Wilson's odds are now 95%, topping the previous high of 87%. 8% 95% SC-02 House winner? Joe Wilson's odds are now 95%, topping the previous high of 87%. SC-02 House winner? Joe Wilson's odds are now 95%, topping the previous high of 87%. Democratic Party 1h 86% 8% Michigan State Senate winner? Democratic Party's odds are now 86%, past the previous high of 78%. Trade Democratic Party 1h Michigan State Senate winner? Trade Democratic Party's odds are now 86%, past the previous high of 78%. 8% 86% Michigan State Senate winner? Democratic Party's odds are now 86%, past the previous high of 78%. Michigan State Senate winner? Democratic Party's odds are now 86%, past the previous high of 78%. Jeanine Driscoll 2h 6% 8% NY-04 House winner? Jeanine Driscoll's odds are now 6%, below the previous low of 14%. Trade Jeanine Driscoll 2h NY-04 House winner? Trade Jeanine Driscoll's odds are now 6%, below the previous low of 14%. 8% 6% NY-04 House winner? Jeanine Driscoll's odds are now 6%, below the previous low of 14%. NY-04 House winner? Jeanine Driscoll's odds are now 6%, below the previous low of 14%. Tim Moore 2h 91% 8% NC-14 House winner? Tim Moore's odds are now 91%, above the previous high of 83%. Trade Tim Moore 2h NC-14 House winner? Trade Tim Moore's odds are now 91%, above the previous high of 83%. 8% 91% NC-14 House winner? Tim Moore's odds are now 91%, above the previous high of 83%. NC-14 House winner? Tim Moore's odds are now 91%, above the previous high of 83%. Joe Strada 2h 99% 0% FL-11 Republican nominee? Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. Trade Joe Strada 2h FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. 0% 99% FL-11 Republican nominee? Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. FL-11 Republican nominee? Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. Amanda Green 2h 99% 100% FL-02 Democratic nominee? Green’s contract jumped from 0% to 99% intraday, a decisive repricing that materially changes the nomination outlook and trading setup. Trade Amanda Green 2h FL-02 Democratic nominee? Trade Green’s contract jumped from 0% to 99% intraday, a decisive repricing that materially changes the nomination outlook and trading setup. 100% 99% FL-02 Democratic nominee? Green’s contract jumped from 0% to 99% intraday, a decisive repricing that materially changes the nomination outlook and trading setup. FL-02 Democratic nominee? Green’s contract jumped from 0% to 99% intraday, a decisive repricing that materially changes the nomination outlook and trading setup. John Cowan 2h 94% 9% GA-11 House winner? John Cowan's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 85%. Trade John Cowan 2h GA-11 House winner? Trade John Cowan's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 85%. 9% 94% GA-11 House winner? John Cowan's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 85%. GA-11 House winner? John Cowan's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 85%. Thurman Bartie 2h 5% 9% TX-14 House winner? Thurman Bartie's odds fell below the prior low of 14%, setting a new floor for "TX-14 House winner?" Trade Thurman Bartie 2h TX-14 House winner? Trade Thurman Bartie's odds fell below the prior low of 14%, setting a new floor for "TX-14 House winner?" 9% 5% TX-14 House winner? Thurman Bartie's odds fell below the prior low of 14%, setting a new floor for "TX-14 House winner?" TX-14 House winner? Thurman Bartie's odds fell below the prior low of 14%, setting a new floor for "TX-14 House winner?" Mike Cargile 2h 3% 9% CA-35 House winner? Mike Cargile's odds fell below their previous low of 12%, setting a new floor for "CA-35 House winner?" Trade Mike Cargile 2h CA-35 House winner? Trade Mike Cargile's odds fell below their previous low of 12%, setting a new floor for "CA-35 House winner?" 9% 3% CA-35 House winner? Mike Cargile's odds fell below their previous low of 12%, setting a new floor for "CA-35 House winner?" CA-35 House winner? Mike Cargile's odds fell below their previous low of 12%, setting a new floor for "CA-35 House winner?" Mike Thompson 2h 64% 26% CA-04 House winner? That’s a fresh low for Mike Thompson in "CA-04 House winner?", breaking below the previous low of 90%. Trade Mike Thompson 2h CA-04 House winner? Trade That’s a fresh low for Mike Thompson in "CA-04 House winner?", breaking below the previous low of 90%. 26% 64% CA-04 House winner? That’s a fresh low for Mike Thompson in "CA-04 House winner?", breaking below the previous low of 90%. CA-04 House winner? That’s a fresh low for Mike Thompson in "CA-04 House winner?", breaking below the previous low of 90%. Lateefah Simon 2h 87% 9% CA-12 House winner? Lateefah Simon's odds fell below the previous low of 96%, setting a new floor for "CA-12 House winner?" Trade Lateefah Simon 2h CA-12 House winner? Trade Lateefah Simon's odds fell below the previous low of 96%, setting a new floor for "CA-12 House winner?" 9% 87% CA-12 House winner? Lateefah Simon's odds fell below the previous low of 96%, setting a new floor for "CA-12 House winner?" CA-12 House winner? Lateefah Simon's odds fell below the previous low of 96%, setting a new floor for "CA-12 House winner?" Tony Wied 2h 87% 9% WI-08 House winner? Tony Wied's odds reached 87%, topping the previous high of 78%. Trade Tony Wied 2h WI-08 House winner? Trade Tony Wied's odds reached 87%, topping the previous high of 78%. 9% 87% WI-08 House winner? Tony Wied's odds reached 87%, topping the previous high of 78%. WI-08 House winner? Tony Wied's odds reached 87%, topping the previous high of 78%. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 2h 37% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 2h Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. 37% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 2h 37% 15% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Kreiss-Tomkins advanced in Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose from 22% to 37% intraday, making him a newly higher-ranked general-election contender to watch. Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 2h Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade Kreiss-Tomkins advanced in Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose from 22% to 37% intraday, making him a newly higher-ranked general-election contender to watch. 15% 37% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Kreiss-Tomkins advanced in Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose from 22% to 37% intraday, making him a newly higher-ranked general-election contender to watch. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Kreiss-Tomkins advanced in Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose from 22% to 37% intraday, making him a newly higher-ranked general-election contender to watch. Melissa Hernandez 2h 42% 26% CA-14 House winner? Melissa Hernandez's odds reached 42%, above the prior high of 16%. Trade Melissa Hernandez 2h CA-14 House winner? Trade Melissa Hernandez's odds reached 42%, above the prior high of 16%. 26% 42% CA-14 House winner? Melissa Hernandez's odds reached 42%, above the prior high of 16%. CA-14 House winner? Melissa Hernandez's odds reached 42%, above the prior high of 16%. Democratic Party 2h 67% 30% FL-07 House winner? That’s above the previous high of 37% for the Florida 7th District House winner race. Trade Democratic Party 2h FL-07 House winner? Trade That’s above the previous high of 37% for the Florida 7th District House winner race. 30% 67% FL-07 House winner? That’s above the previous high of 37% for the Florida 7th District House winner race. FL-07 House winner? That’s above the previous high of 37% for the Florida 7th District House winner race. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 2h 37% 15% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's odds are now 37%, above the previous high of 22%. Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 2h Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's odds are now 37%, above the previous high of 22%. 15% 37% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's odds are now 37%, above the previous high of 22%. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's odds are now 37%, above the previous high of 22%. Dan Barrios 2h 76% 53% TX-32 House winner? Dan Barrios's odds reached 76%, topping the prior high of 23%. Trade Dan Barrios 2h TX-32 House winner? Trade Dan Barrios's odds reached 76%, topping the prior high of 23%. 53% 76% TX-32 House winner? Dan Barrios's odds reached 76%, topping the prior high of 23%. TX-32 House winner? Dan Barrios's odds reached 76%, topping the prior high of 23%. Josh Riley 3h 90% 9% NY-19 House winner? Josh Riley's odds are above the previous high of 81% in the NY-19 House winner race. Trade Josh Riley 3h NY-19 House winner? Trade Josh Riley's odds are above the previous high of 81% in the NY-19 House winner race. 9% 90% NY-19 House winner? Josh Riley's odds are above the previous high of 81% in the NY-19 House winner race. NY-19 House winner? Josh Riley's odds are above the previous high of 81% in the NY-19 House winner race. Marni von Wilpert 3h 91% 10% CA-48 House winner? Marni von Wilpert's odds are now 90%, above the previous high of 81%. Trade Marni von Wilpert 3h CA-48 House winner? Trade Marni von Wilpert's odds are now 90%, above the previous high of 81%. 10% 91% CA-48 House winner? Marni von Wilpert's odds are now 90%, above the previous high of 81%. CA-48 House winner? Marni von Wilpert's odds are now 90%, above the previous high of 81%. Justin Pearson 3h 16% TN-09 House winner? Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" Trade Justin Pearson 3h TN-09 House winner? Trade Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" 16% TN-09 House winner? Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" TN-09 House winner? Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" Rich McCormick 3h 92% 10% GA-07 House winner? Rich McCormick's odds are now 92%, above the previous high of 82%. Trade Rich McCormick 3h GA-07 House winner? Trade Rich McCormick's odds are now 92%, above the previous high of 82%. 10% 92% GA-07 House winner? Rich McCormick's odds are now 92%, above the previous high of 82%. GA-07 House winner? Rich McCormick's odds are now 92%, above the previous high of 82%. Brad Lander 3h 3% New York City mayoral election winner? Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. Trade Brad Lander 3h New York City mayoral election winner? Trade Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. 3% New York City mayoral election winner? Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. New York City mayoral election winner? Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. Republican Party 4h 97% 10% FL-17 House winner? Republican Party's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 87%. Trade Republican Party 4h FL-17 House winner? Trade Republican Party's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 87%. 10% 97% FL-17 House winner? Republican Party's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 87%. FL-17 House winner? Republican Party's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 87%. Jamie Ager 4h 69% 10% NC-11 House winner? Jamie Ager's odds are now 69%, topping the previous high of 59%. Trade Jamie Ager 4h NC-11 House winner? Trade Jamie Ager's odds are now 69%, topping the previous high of 59%. 10% 69% NC-11 House winner? Jamie Ager's odds are now 69%, topping the previous high of 59%. NC-11 House winner? Jamie Ager's odds are now 69%, topping the previous high of 59%. Chaz Molder 4h 12% TN-05 House winner? Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. Trade Chaz Molder 4h TN-05 House winner? Trade Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. 12% TN-05 House winner? Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. TN-05 House winner? Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. Shaun Finnie 4h 11% TX-02 House winner? Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" Trade Shaun Finnie 4h TX-02 House winner? Trade Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" 11% TX-02 House winner? Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" TX-02 House winner? Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" Bob Onder 5h 94% MO-03 House winner? Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. Trade Bob Onder 5h MO-03 House winner? Trade Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. 94% MO-03 House winner? Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. MO-03 House winner? Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. Mary Peltola 5h 56% 4% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Mary Peltola remains the market favorite at 56% even after Alaska primary results advanced her and Dan Sullivan to November, keeping the main Senate matchup repriced around her slight lead. Trade Mary Peltola 5h Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Trade Mary Peltola remains the market favorite at 56% even after Alaska primary results advanced her and Dan Sullivan to November, keeping the main Senate matchup repriced around her slight lead. 4% 56% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Mary Peltola remains the market favorite at 56% even after Alaska primary results advanced her and Dan Sullivan to November, keeping the main Senate matchup repriced around her slight lead. Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Mary Peltola remains the market favorite at 56% even after Alaska primary results advanced her and Dan Sullivan to November, keeping the main Senate matchup repriced around her slight lead. Greg Dolezal 5h 55% Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. Trade Greg Dolezal 5h Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Trade Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. 55% Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. Michael Bouchard Jr. 5h 65% MI-10 House winner? Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. Trade Michael Bouchard Jr. 5h MI-10 House winner? Trade Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. 65% MI-10 House winner? Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. MI-10 House winner? Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. Marco Rubio 8h 22% 7% 2028 Republican presidential nominee Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. Trade Marco Rubio 8h 2028 Republican presidential nominee Trade Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. 7% 22% 2028 Republican presidential nominee Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. 2028 Republican presidential nominee Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. Daryl Parks 8h 3% 13% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. Trade Daryl Parks 8h Tallahassee Mayoral Election Trade Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. 13% 3% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. Tallahassee Mayoral Election Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. Loranne Ausley 8h 60% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. Trade Loranne Ausley 8h Tallahassee Mayoral Election Trade Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. 60% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. Tallahassee Mayoral Election Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. Ryan Elijah wins the FL-07 GOP primary, ousting Cory Mills 11h FL-07 House winner? The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. Trade Ryan Elijah wins the FL-07 GOP primary, ousting Cory Mills 11h FL-07 House winner? Trade The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. FL-07 House winner? The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. FL-07 House winner? The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. Republican Party 12h Florida Governor winner? Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Trade Republican Party 12h Florida Governor winner? Trade Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Florida Governor winner? Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Florida Governor winner? Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Dan Sullivan 14h 8% 6% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. Trade Dan Sullivan 14h Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. 6% 8% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. Dan Green 14h 54% FL-09 Republican nominee? Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. Trade Dan Green 14h FL-09 Republican nominee? Trade Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. 54% FL-09 Republican nominee? Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. FL-09 Republican nominee? Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. Steve Friess 15h 27% WY-AL Republican nominee? Steve Friess has raised $3,282,744.69 this cycle, while Chuck Gray holds the lead in the latest odds. Trade Steve Friess 15h WY-AL Republican nominee? Trade Steve Friess has raised $3,282,744.69 this cycle, while Chuck Gray holds the lead in the latest odds. 27% WY-AL Republican nominee? Steve Friess has raised $3,282,744.69 this cycle, while Chuck Gray holds the lead in the latest odds. WY-AL Republican nominee? Steve Friess has raised $3,282,744.69 this cycle, while Chuck Gray holds the lead in the latest odds. Alaska Senate primary draws fresh burst of coverage 17h Alaska Senate winner? (Person) AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Trade Alaska Senate primary draws fresh burst of coverage 17h Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Trade AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Alaska Senate winner? (Person) AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Alaska Senate winner? (Person) AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Maura Sullivan 18h 15% NH-01 Democratic nominee? Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. Trade Maura Sullivan 18h NH-01 Democratic nominee? Trade Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. 15% NH-01 Democratic nominee? Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. NH-01 Democratic nominee? Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. Michele Tafoya 19h 12% Minnesota Senate winner? Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. Trade Michele Tafoya 19h Minnesota Senate winner? Trade Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. 12% Minnesota Senate winner? Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. Minnesota Senate winner? Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. Charlie Crist 1d 88% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. Trade Charlie Crist 1d St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Trade Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. 88% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. AP says Alaska governor race is part of today’s crowded primary 1d Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Trade AP says Alaska governor race is part of today’s crowded primary 1d Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Bernard Taylor 1d 64% 0% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. Trade Bernard Taylor 1d FL-21 Democratic nominee? Trade Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. 0% 64% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. FL-21 Democratic nominee? Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. Jay Collins 1d 21% 24% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. Trade Jay Collins 1d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. 24% 21% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. Ted Cruz 1d 2% 2028 Republican VP nominee Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. Trade Ted Cruz 1d 2028 Republican VP nominee Trade Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. 2% 2028 Republican VP nominee Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. 2028 Republican VP nominee Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. Eric Jones 1d 26% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. Trade Eric Jones 1d CA-04 House winner? Trade Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. 26% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. Mary Peltola 1d 90% 26% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. Trade Mary Peltola 1d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. 26% 90% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. Eric Yonce 1d 83% 25% FL-06 Democratic nominee? Yonce’s odds rebounded sharply from 58% to 83% in the last day, keeping him the clear favorite ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary and signaling continued trader attention. Trade Eric Yonce 1d FL-06 Democratic nominee? Trade Yonce’s odds rebounded sharply from 58% to 83% in the last day, keeping him the clear favorite ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary and signaling continued trader attention. 25% 83% FL-06 Democratic nominee? Yonce’s odds rebounded sharply from 58% to 83% in the last day, keeping him the clear favorite ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary and signaling continued trader attention. FL-06 Democratic nominee? Yonce’s odds rebounded sharply from 58% to 83% in the last day, keeping him the clear favorite ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary and signaling continued trader attention. Republican Party 1d 47% 9% Alaska Senate winner? Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. Trade Republican Party 1d Alaska Senate winner? Trade Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. 9% 47% Alaska Senate winner? Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. Alaska Senate winner? Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. Bernard Taylor 1d 61% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. Trade Bernard Taylor 1d FL-21 Democratic nominee? Trade Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. 61% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. Paul Renner 1d 15% 5% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Renner’s third-place contract surged from 10% to 15% in the last hour, while AP’s election-day coverage keeps the crowded primary in focus ahead of Tuesday’s vote. Trade Paul Renner 1d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Renner’s third-place contract surged from 10% to 15% in the last hour, while AP’s election-day coverage keeps the crowded primary in focus ahead of Tuesday’s vote. 5% 15% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Renner’s third-place contract surged from 10% to 15% in the last hour, while AP’s election-day coverage keeps the crowded primary in focus ahead of Tuesday’s vote. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Renner’s third-place contract surged from 10% to 15% in the last hour, while AP’s election-day coverage keeps the crowded primary in focus ahead of Tuesday’s vote. Beau Bayh 1d 56% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. Trade Beau Bayh 1d Indiana Secretary of State winner? Trade Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. 56% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. Indiana Secretary of State winner? Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. Fake Bass lead poll debunked 2d Los Angeles Mayor winner? A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Trade Fake Bass lead poll debunked 2d Los Angeles Mayor winner? Trade A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Los Angeles Mayor winner? A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Los Angeles Mayor winner? A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Jay Collins 2d 23% 24% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Trade Jay Collins 2d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. 24% 23% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Matthew Dunlap 2d 57% ME-02 House winner? Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. Trade Matthew Dunlap 2d ME-02 House winner? Trade Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. 57%

ME-02 House winner? Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. ME-02 House winner? Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. AP previews CA-14 special election ahead of Tuesday vote 2d CA-14 special election winner AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. Trade AP previews CA-14 special election ahead of Tuesday vote 2d CA-14 special election winner Trade AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. CA-14 special election winner AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. CA-14 special election winner AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. Saritha Komatireddy 2d 6% New York Attorney General winner? Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" Trade Saritha Komatireddy 2d New York Attorney General winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" 6% New York Attorney General winner? Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" New York Attorney General winner? Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" Democratic Party 2d Which party will win the U.S. House? Democrats now trade around an 85% chance to win House control, with Republicans at 14%, extending a sharp one-day repricing that keeps this market on traders’ radar. Trade Democratic Party 2d Which party will win the U.S. House? Trade Democrats now trade around an 85% chance to win House control, with Republicans at 14%, extending a sharp one-day repricing that keeps this market on traders’ radar. Which party will win the U.S. House? Democrats now trade around an 85% chance to win House control, with Republicans at 14%, extending a sharp one-day repricing that keeps this market on traders’ radar. Which party will win the U.S. House? Democrats now trade around an 85% chance to win House control, with Republicans at 14%, extending a sharp one-day repricing that keeps this market on traders’ radar. Eliott Rodriguez 3d 89% 13% FL-27 Democratic nominee? Rodriguez’s nomination odds surged from 76% to 89% in the past day, extending his already clear lead and keeping the market near a fresh high ahead of the August 18 primary. Trade Eliott Rodriguez 3d FL-27 Democratic nominee? Trade Rodriguez’s nomination odds surged from 76% to 89% in the past day, extending his already clear lead and keeping the market near a fresh high ahead of the August 18 primary. 13% 89% FL-27 Democratic nominee? Rodriguez’s nomination odds surged from 76% to 89% in the past day, extending his already clear lead and keeping the market near a fresh high ahead of the August 18 primary. FL-27 Democratic nominee? Rodriguez’s nomination odds surged from 76% to 89% in the past day, extending his already clear lead and keeping the market near a fresh high ahead of the August 18 primary. Bill Huizenga 3d 60% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" Trade Bill Huizenga 3d MI-04 House winner? Trade Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" 60% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" Beau Bayh 3d 54% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. Trade Beau Bayh 3d Indiana Secretary of State winner? Trade Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. 54% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. Indiana Secretary of State winner? Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. Rob Sand 3d 73% 0% Iowa Governor winner? New reporting says Iowa’s governor race has been upgraded to a toss-up and highlights Sand’s lead over GOP nominee Zach Lahn, matching the market’s sharp reprice higher over the past day. Trade Rob Sand 3d Iowa Governor winner? Trade New reporting says Iowa’s governor race has been upgraded to a toss-up and highlights Sand’s lead over GOP nominee Zach Lahn, matching the market’s sharp reprice higher over the past day. 0% 73% Iowa Governor winner? New reporting says Iowa’s governor race has been upgraded to a toss-up and highlights Sand’s lead over GOP nominee Zach Lahn, matching the market’s sharp reprice higher over the past day. Iowa Governor winner? New reporting says Iowa’s governor race has been upgraded to a toss-up and highlights Sand’s lead over GOP nominee Zach Lahn, matching the market’s sharp reprice higher over the past day. Ben Butler 4d 23% 26% FL-09 Republican nominee? Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. Trade Ben Butler 4d FL-09 Republican nominee? Trade Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. 26% 23% FL-09 Republican nominee? Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. FL-09 Republican nominee? Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. Yen Bailey 4d 46% FL-02 Democratic nominee? Yen Bailey is now at 46%, up 19.0 points from the prior leader in the FL-02 Democratic nominee race. Trade Yen Bailey 4d FL-02 Democratic nominee? Trade Yen Bailey is now at 46%, up 19.0 points from the prior leader in the FL-02 Democratic nominee race. 46% FL-02 Democratic nominee? Yen Bailey is now at 46%, up 19.0 points from the prior leader in the FL-02 Democratic nominee race. FL-02 Democratic nominee? Yen Bailey is now at 46%, up 19.0 points from the prior leader in the FL-02 Democratic nominee race. Rhett Marques 4d 76% AL-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" Trade Rhett Marques 4d AL-02 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" 76% AL-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" AL-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" Peltola faces fresh Alaska primary scrutiny over endorsement and ballot drama 4d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Trade Peltola faces fresh Alaska primary scrutiny over endorsement and ballot drama 4d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Alaska Senate primary: 1st place New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Alaska Senate primary: 1st place New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Democrats add $6 million in OH-07 advertising 5d OH-07 House winner? House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. Trade Democrats add $6 million in OH-07 advertising 5d OH-07 House winner? Trade House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. OH-07 House winner? House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. OH-07 House winner? House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. Kaptur injury report adds fresh attention to OH-09 5d OH-09 House winner? AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) Trade Kaptur injury report adds fresh attention to OH-09 5d OH-09 House winner? Trade AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) OH-09 House winner? AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) OH-09 House winner? AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) Maine Democrats’ turmoil is easing GOP Senate pressure 5d Which party will win the U.S. Senate? AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Trade Maine Democrats’ turmoil is easing GOP Senate pressure 5d Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Trade AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Which party will win the U.S. Senate? AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Which party will win the U.S. Senate? AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Nicole Locklin 6d 99% FL-26 Democratic nominee? Nicole Locklin is now at 99% and leads by 98.0 points in the FL-26 Democratic nominee race. Trade Nicole Locklin 6d FL-26 Democratic nominee? Trade Nicole Locklin is now at 99% and leads by 98.0 points in the FL-26 Democratic nominee race. 99% FL-26 Democratic nominee? Nicole Locklin is now at 99% and leads by 98.0 points in the FL-26 Democratic nominee race. FL-26 Democratic nominee? Nicole Locklin is now at 99% and leads by 98.0 points in the FL-26 Democratic nominee race. Trina Swanson 6d 62% MN-08 House winner? Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. Trade Trina Swanson 6d MN-08 House winner? Trade Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. 62% MN-08 House winner? Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. MN-08 House winner? Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. Blake Miguez 6d 6% LA-05 Republican nominee? Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. Trade Blake Miguez 6d LA-05 Republican nominee? Trade Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. 6% LA-05 Republican nominee? Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. LA-05 Republican nominee? Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. Adam Hamilton 6d 22% Kansas Senate winner? Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. Trade Adam Hamilton 6d Kansas Senate winner? Trade Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. 22% Kansas Senate winner? Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. Kansas Senate winner? Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. Charlie Hatcher 6d 92% TN-05 House winner? Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. Trade Charlie Hatcher 6d TN-05 House winner? Trade Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. 92% TN-05 House winner? Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. TN-05 House winner? Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. Mandela Barnes 6d 1% Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. Trade Mandela Barnes 6d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Trade Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. 1% Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. Carey Baker 6d 30% FL-11 Republican nominee? Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Trade Carey Baker 6d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. 30% FL-11 Republican nominee? Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. FL-11 Republican nominee? Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Joe Strada 6d 18% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Trade Joe Strada 6d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. 18% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Joe Lombardo 7d 60% Nevada Governor winner? Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. Trade Joe Lombardo 7d Nevada Governor winner? Trade Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. 60% Nevada Governor winner? Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. Nevada Governor winner? Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. Stephen Skoly 7d 58% RI-02 Republican nominee? Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. Trade Stephen Skoly 7d RI-02 Republican nominee? Trade Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. 58% RI-02 Republican nominee? Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. RI-02 Republican nominee? Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. Tia LeBrun 7d 8% LA-03 Democratic nominee? Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. Trade Tia LeBrun 7d LA-03 Democratic nominee? Trade Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. 8% LA-03 Democratic nominee? Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. LA-03 Democratic nominee? Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. Aaron Guckian 7d 72% Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. Trade Aaron Guckian 7d Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Trade Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. 72% Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. Monica De La Cruz 7d 52% TX-15 House winner? Monica De La Cruz is now at 52% and leads by 8.0 points in TX-15. Trade Monica De La Cruz 7d TX-15 House winner? Trade Monica De La Cruz is now at 52% and leads by 8.0 points in TX-15. 52% TX-15 House winner? Monica De La Cruz is now at 52% and leads by 8.0 points in TX-15. TX-15 House winner? Monica De La Cruz is now at 52% and leads by 8.0 points in TX-15. Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic governor primary 7d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Trade Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic governor primary 7d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Trade AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Bronin defeats Larson in CT-01 Democratic primary 7d CT-01 House winner? Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. Trade Bronin defeats Larson in CT-01 Democratic primary 7d CT-01 House winner? Trade Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. CT-01 House winner? Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. CT-01 House winner? Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. Peggy Flanagan 7d 91% Minnesota Senate winner? Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. Trade Peggy Flanagan 7d Minnesota Senate winner? Trade Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. 91% Minnesota Senate winner? Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. Minnesota Senate winner? Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. Bill Huizenga 7d 32% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" Trade Bill Huizenga 7d MI-04 House winner? Trade Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" 32% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" Cooke clinches WI-03 Democratic nomination 7d WI-03 House winner? Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. Trade Cooke clinches WI-03 Democratic nomination 7d WI-03 House winner? Trade Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. WI-03 House winner? Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. WI-03 House winner? Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. Nic Zateslo 7d 32% FL-02 Democratic nominee? Fresh reporting on the FL-02 Democratic primary debate and recent fundraising comes as Nic Zateslo’s market price jumps to 32% on heavy volume, signaling a sharp repricing traders should watch. Trade Nic Zateslo 7d FL-02 Democratic nominee? Trade Fresh reporting on the FL-02 Democratic primary debate and recent fundraising comes as Nic Zateslo’s market price jumps to 32% on heavy volume, signaling a sharp repricing traders should watch. 32% FL-02 Democratic nominee? Fresh reporting on the FL-02 Democratic primary debate and recent fundraising comes as Nic Zateslo’s market price jumps to 32% on heavy volume, signaling a sharp repricing traders should watch. FL-02 Democratic nominee? Fresh reporting on the FL-02 Democratic primary debate and recent fundraising comes as Nic Zateslo’s market price jumps to 32% on heavy volume, signaling a sharp repricing traders should watch. SC GOP Senate primary heads to a runoff 7d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. Trade SC GOP Senate primary heads to a runoff 7d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Trade AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. Abdul El-Sayed 7d 55% Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Senate Leadership Fund is launching an extra $6 million TV and digital buy against Abdul El-Sayed, an unusually early spend that underscores Republicans’ focus on the Michigan open-seat race and could pressure general-election pricing. Trade Abdul El-Sayed 7d Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Trade Senate Leadership Fund is launching an extra $6 million TV and digital buy against Abdul El-Sayed, an unusually early spend that underscores Republicans’ focus on the Michigan open-seat race and could pressure general-election pricing. 55% Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Senate Leadership Fund is launching an extra $6 million TV and digital buy against Abdul El-Sayed, an unusually early spend that underscores Republicans’ focus on the Michigan open-seat race and could pressure general-election pricing. Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Senate Leadership Fund is launching an extra $6 million TV and digital buy against Abdul El-Sayed, an unusually early spend that underscores Republicans’ focus on the Michigan open-seat race and could pressure general-election pricing. Lisa Demuth wins Minnesota GOP governor primary 7d Minnesota Governor winner? Demuth’s win replaces Trump-backed Mike Lindell as the Republican nominee, but Minnesota’s governor market still prices Democrats as a heavy favorite, so the result matters mainly for the GOP challenge path rather than the overall race favorite. Trade Lisa Demuth wins Minnesota GOP governor primary 7d Minnesota Governor winner? Trade Demuth’s win replaces Trump-backed Mike Lindell as the Republican nominee, but Minnesota’s governor market still prices Democrats as a heavy favorite, so the result matters mainly for the GOP challenge path rather than the overall race favorite. Minnesota Governor winner? Demuth’s win replaces Trump-backed Mike Lindell as the Republican nominee, but Minnesota’s governor market still prices Democrats as a heavy favorite, so the result matters mainly for the GOP challenge path rather than the overall race favorite. Minnesota Governor winner? Demuth’s win replaces Trump-backed Mike Lindell as the Republican nominee, but Minnesota’s governor market still prices Democrats as a heavy favorite, so the result matters mainly for the GOP challenge path rather than the overall race favorite. Francesca Hong 7d 87% Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Francesca Hong is now the front-runner in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place, with 87% odds and a 73.0-point lead. Trade Francesca Hong 7d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Trade Francesca Hong is now the front-runner in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place, with 87% odds and a 73.0-point lead. 87% Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Francesca Hong is now the front-runner in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place, with 87% odds and a 73.0-point lead. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Francesca Hong is now the front-runner in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place, with 87% odds and a 73.0-point lead. Patrick Roath 7d 52% MA-08 Democratic nominee? Patrick Roath is now at 52%, with a 3.0-point lead in the MA-08 Democratic nominee race. Trade Patrick Roath 7d MA-08 Democratic nominee? Trade Patrick Roath is now at 52%, with a 3.0-point lead in the MA-08 Democratic nominee race. 52% MA-08 Democratic nominee? Patrick Roath is now at 52%, with a 3.0-point lead in the MA-08 Democratic nominee race. MA-08 Democratic nominee? Patrick Roath is now at 52%, with a 3.0-point lead in the MA-08 Democratic nominee race. Dan Sullivan 9d 44% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). Trade Dan Sullivan 9d Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Trade Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). 44% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). Tim Fleming 10d 55% Georgia Secretary of State winner? Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" Trade Tim Fleming 10d Georgia Secretary of State winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" 55% Georgia Secretary of State winner? Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" Georgia Secretary of State winner? Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" Dan Sullivan 11d 1% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, but Mary Peltola is ahead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate primary. Trade Dan Sullivan 11d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, but Mary Peltola is ahead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate primary. 1% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, but Mary Peltola is ahead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate primary. Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, but Mary Peltola is ahead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate primary. Mark Lynch 11d 1% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Mark Lynch has raised $5,919,538.70 this cycle, while Russell Fry leads the latest odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. Trade Mark Lynch 11d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Trade Mark Lynch has raised $5,919,538.70 this cycle, while Russell Fry leads the latest odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. 1% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Mark Lynch has raised $5,919,538.70 this cycle, while Russell Fry leads the latest odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Mark Lynch has raised $5,919,538.70 this cycle, while Russell Fry leads the latest odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. Blake Gendebien 12d 28% NY-21 House winner? The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. Trade Blake Gendebien 12d NY-21 House winner? Trade The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. 28% NY-21 House winner? The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. NY-21 House winner? The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. Bernard Taylor 13d 50% 17% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Bernard Taylor 13d FL-21 Democratic nominee? Trade Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. 17% 50% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. Jen A. Kiggans 13d 24% VA-02 House winner? Jen A. Kiggans has raised $5,954,338 this cycle, but Elaine Luria holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-02 House winner?" Trade Jen A. Kiggans 13d VA-02 House winner? Trade Jen A. Kiggans has raised $5,954,338 this cycle, but Elaine Luria holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-02 House winner?" 24% VA-02 House winner? Jen A. Kiggans has raised $5,954,338 this cycle, but Elaine Luria holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-02 House winner?" VA-02 House winner? Jen A. Kiggans has raised $5,954,338 this cycle, but Elaine Luria holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-02 House winner?" Tom Barrett 13d 42% MI-07 House winner? Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for MI-07 House winner. Trade Tom Barrett 13d MI-07 House winner? Trade Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for MI-07 House winner. 42% MI-07 House winner? Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for MI-07 House winner. MI-07 House winner? Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for MI-07 House winner. Ryan E. Mackenzie 16d 33% PA-07 House winner? Ryan E. Mackenzie has raised $4,357,405 this cycle, but Bob Brooks holds the lead in the latest odds for "PA-07 House winner?" Trade Ryan E. Mackenzie 16d PA-07 House winner? Trade Ryan E. Mackenzie has raised $4,357,405 this cycle, but Bob Brooks holds the lead in the latest odds for "PA-07 House winner?" 33% PA-07 House winner? Ryan E. Mackenzie has raised $4,357,405 this cycle, but Bob Brooks holds the lead in the latest odds for "PA-07 House winner?" PA-07 House winner? Ryan E. Mackenzie has raised $4,357,405 this cycle, but Bob Brooks holds the lead in the latest odds for "PA-07 House winner?" Paul R. LePage 17d 68% ME-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. Trade Paul R. LePage 17d ME-02 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. 68% ME-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. ME-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. Joe Strada 18d 60% 22% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. Trade Joe Strada 18d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. 22% 60% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. Tram Nguyen 18d 20% MA-06 Democratic nominee? The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. Trade Tram Nguyen 18d MA-06 Democratic nominee? Trade The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. 20% MA-06 Democratic nominee? The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. MA-06 Democratic nominee? The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. Zach Nunn 19d 37% IA-03 House winner? Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. Trade Zach Nunn 19d IA-03 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. 37% IA-03 House winner? Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. IA-03 House winner? Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. Eric Jones 20d 27% 18% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Eric Jones 20d CA-04 House winner? Trade Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. 18% 27% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Jenny Costa Honeycutt 20d 76% SC-01 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" Trade Jenny Costa Honeycutt 20d SC-01 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" 76% SC-01 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" SC-01 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" Jeanine Driscoll 21d 14% NY-04 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" Trade Jeanine Driscoll 21d NY-04 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" 14% NY-04 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" NY-04 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" Alexander Kolodin 21d 15% Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. Trade Alexander Kolodin 21d Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trade Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. 15% Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. Rick Jackson 21d 42% Georgia Governor winner? Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. Trade Rick Jackson 21d Georgia Governor winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. 42% Georgia Governor winner? Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. Georgia Governor winner? Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. Byron Donalds 22d 4% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. Trade Byron Donalds 22d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. 4% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. Everton Blair Jr. 23d 5% 43% GA-13 special election winner? Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" Trade Everton Blair Jr. 23d GA-13 special election winner? Trade Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" 43% 5% GA-13 special election winner? Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" GA-13 special election winner? Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" Marcye Scott 25d 56% 17% GA-13 special election winner? Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Marcye Scott 25d GA-13 special election winner? Trade Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. 17% 56% GA-13 special election winner? Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. GA-13 special election winner? Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. Mike Rogers 26d 32% 69% Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. Trade Mike Rogers 26d Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Trade Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. 69% 32% Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. Democratic Party 27d 46% 17% TX-15 House winner? Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Democratic Party 27d TX-15 House winner? Trade Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. 17% 46% TX-15 House winner? Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. TX-15 House winner? Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Paul Renner 28d 61% 32% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Trade Paul Renner 28d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. 32% 61% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Darline Graham Nordone 28d 72% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%. Trade Darline Graham Nordone 28d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%. 72% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%.